, 2006). The first PC from PCA applied to SPI fields explained a high percentage of the total variance at all time scales analyzed and represented its average areal behavior. In PC1n (t) time series, n = 6, learn more 12 and 18 months, the T-PC1 from SSA was associated

with a positive nonlinear trend, whose low frequency behavior showed changes to wetter conditions from 1960 to 2000s, subsequent signs of stabilization and a trend reversal since the first decade of 21st century. The largest and more severe hydrological and agricultural droughts in the NEA occurred between 1901 and 1960 while a period of wet EPE of long duration and high intensity was recorded between years 1970 and 2005, causing the worst floods of the 20th century. Moreover, an extended period with very dry conditions was registered between 1921 and 1939 that might

extend the “Pampas Dust Bowl” to the bulk of the NEA. Almost the entire NEA—except the Northwestern corner—showed SPI18 (t) series whose low-frequency time response presented a nonlinear positive trend and oscillatory pairs with dominant periods T = 6.5 years and 8.7 years, determining the periodicity Sirtuin activator of EPE in the region. The Northwestern corner of the study region showed a possible oscillatory pair of very low frequency, an important cycle of 6 years and a quasioscillatory mode with T = 11.25 years/cycle. Our results showed that the linear combination of PC118 (t), PC218 (t) and PC318 (t) allowed an adequate reproduction of a high percentage of low frequency variance of EPE over an extensive area of NEA, especially in the West-Central zone, where the proportion of accounted variance was between 70 and 80%. The low frequency behavior of wetness area coverage time series showed

a remarkable nonlinear trend, particularly at longer time scales, with a trend reversal in the last years of the 2000s. This feature is similar to that found in the average areal behavior see more of SPI fields, suggesting that wet EPE of higher severity noted between 1970 and 2003 begin to decline. The most intense hydrological extremely wet events were recorded in the wet period of the late 20th century, with extraordinary peaks in October 1973 (consistent with strong El Niño event) and March 2003 (consistent with a moderate El Niño event). This last event caused the most catastrophic flood of the Salado Basin. On the other hand, no well-defined nonlinear negative trends were found in drought area coverage time series. Instead, this last series, presented an important oscillatory cycle with a dominant period of 6 years, showing a periodicity of extremely drought condition in the region, particularly differentiated in the first half of the 20th century.